Оппозиционный политик, глава Национального банка Украины (2010—2012 гг.) Сергей Арбузов опубликовал новую запись в своём блоге:
State Statistics published the data on foreign trade in goods in the first half of the year. Its volumes continue to decline, and the Ukrainian export reducing much faster than import. Compared with the first half of 2015, exports decreased by 10.7% and imports — by 5.3%. The negative balance amounted to $ 0.68 billion, while a year ago it was positive and amounted to $ 1.25 billion. The economy continues to send greetings to supporters of «the saving devaluation.»
Rest figures are not surprising too. Ukraine continues to lose its traditional markets. In the first half of 2016 export to the CIS countries decreased by 31.3% or $ 1.16 billion, while export to the EU countries was not able to compensate those losses. It increased by only 6.7%, or $ 0, 46 billion.
If we will compare to pre-crisis data, the picture will be very sad. Compared with the first half of 2013 commodity export to the CIS has fallen by 4.2 times from $ 11.6 bln. to $ 2.6 bln., while export to the EU has fallen by 21.8% from $8.3 bln. to $ 6.5 bln.
Ukraine has lost nearly 17.4 billion of commodity export during the 2014—2015 years — more than we have received during this time from the IMF.
At the same time stories of the officials about the reorientation to other markets are only empty talk for now. The rapid growth of export to Gabon, Congo, Myanmar and even Somalia recorded «on paper». However, the supply of goods to such countries was not able to compensate the general loss. At the same time we are losing such key areas as China and Turkey — minus 25.4% and 31.7% respectively.
The structure of export continues to deteriorate. There are raw materials or semi-finished products in the 8 products from the top 10 export list of Ukraine in the first half of 2016.
After the rejection of the russian market, the government did nothing to replace it. The naive hope for Europe was not justified, and attempts to find other markets crashed. In fact, the policy of the current government led the country to a blind alley. If the country is silent, then everybody likes such situation.
| СЕРГЕЙ АРБУЗОВ|
Оппозиционный политик, глава Национального банка Украины (2010—2012 гг.)
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